conservative investor

	Team		Predictability	Matches Played	Magnitude	CI Yield
	Burnley		83.3%	18	38	37.5%
	Arbroath		82.4%	17	29	29.3%
	Kelty Hearts		82.4%	17	24	23.4%
	Dunfermline		88.9%	18	23	25.0%
	St Mirren		84.2%	19	33	31.5%
	Partick Thistle		76.5%	17	27	17.4%
	Ayr		76.5%	17	23	15.9%
	Liverpool		94.1%	17	39	14.1%
	St Johnstone		83.3%	18	29	20.8%
	Cove Rangers		76.5%	17	27	10.6%
	Edinburgh City		66.7%	18	41	15.5%
	Brentford		73.7%	19	31	21.5%
	West Ham United		64.7%	17	31	6.8%
	Peterhead		70.6%	17	29	5.7%
	Nottingham Forest		64.7%	17	33	5.1%
	Spartans		70.6%	17	27	5.0%
	Luton Town		70.6%	17	32	4.7%
	Manchester City		88.9%	18	34	10.4%
	Hearts		70.6%	17	31	4.0%
	Motherwell		83.3%	18	15	10.0%
	Stenhousemuir		70.6%	17	33	3.1%
	Aston Villa		82.4%	17	24	2.8%
	Fulham		70.6%	17	26	2.5%
	Bournemouth		73.7%	19	32	13.2%
	Falkirk		83.3%	18	40	5.7%
	Rangers		89.5%	19	43	10.7%
	Sheffield Utd		73.7%	19	40	9.6%
	Inverness CT		66.7%	18	28	2.9%
	Kilmarnock		72.2%	18	27	1.9%
	Tottenham Hotspur		70.6%	17	31	-4.5%
	Shrewsbury		86.4%	22	28	23.3%
	Hamilton		70.6%	17	39	-4.7%
	Dumbarton		70.6%	17	28	-5.1%
	Queen's Park		47.1%	17	30	-6.1%
	Carlisle United		63.6%	22	48	21.5%
	Morton		66.7%	18	22	-1.3%
	Ross County		73.7%	19	25	3.9%
	Celtic		77.8%	18	41	-2.5%
	Colchester United		59.1%	22	42	19.2%
	Norwich City		81.8%	22	31	19.2%
	Forest Green Rovers		72.7%	22	37	18.8%
	Arsenal		84.2%	19	38	2.5%
	Queen of South		72.2%	18	23	-3.5%
	Annan Athletic		64.7%	17	27	-9.0%
	Livingston		55.6%	18	34	-3.8%
	Forfar		66.7%	18	28	-4.1%
	Newcastle United		68.4%	19	25	0.9%
	Ipswich Town		82.6%	23	48	22.0%
	Oxford United		85.7%	21	29	11.1%
	East Fife		62.5%	16	23	-15.8%
	Wolverhampton W		70.6%	17	29	-11.3%
	Charlton Athletic		66.7%	21	33	9.6%
	Huddersfield Town		78.3%	23	38	19.7%
	Alloa		58.8%	17	30	-12.7%
	Aberdeen		72.2%	18	21	-7.8%
	Sutton Utd		57.1%	21	41	6.1%
	Stirling Albion		64.7%	17	23	-14.2%
	Crystal Palace		61.1%	18	28	-9.9%
	Montrose		61.1%	18	29	-10.2%
	Manchester United		73.7%	19	34	-5.3%
	Clyde		55.6%	18	32	-10.7%
	Raith Rovers		58.8%	17	32	-15.8%
	Dundee		63.2%	19	29	-5.9%
	Swansea City		81.8%	22	26	8.9%
	Airdrie		58.8%	17	25	-16.3%
	Brighton and HA		63.2%	19	34	-6.6%
	Accrington Stanley		77.3%	22	23	7.9%
	Sheffield Wed.		57.1%	21	39	2.7%
	Swindon Town		82.6%	23	27	11.9%
	Blackpool		77.3%	22	34	6.9%
	Dundee Utd		61.1%	18	42	-12.7%
	Bolton Wanderers		76.2%	21	44	1.3%
	Fleetwood Town		65.2%	23	41	10.5%
	Port Vale		69.6%	23	39	9.7%
	Northampton Town		68.2%	22	29	4.9%
	Portsmouth		77.3%	22	39	4.9%
	Wrexham		72.7%	22	36	4.4%
	Bristol Rovers		68.2%	22	29	2.6%
	Leicester City		76.2%	21	47	-2.1%
	Leeds United		76.2%	21	46	-3.9%
	Hibernian		61.1%	18	21	-18.2%
	Stockport County		77.3%	22	43	-0.2%
	Notts County		73.9%	23	34	4.1%
	Peterborough United		78.3%	23	37	3.7%
	Burton Albion		69.6%	23	34	3.5%
	West Bromwich Albion		69.6%	23	36	2.8%
	MK Dons		72.7%	22	26	-1.8%
	Reading		52.4%	21	30	-6.4%
	Barrow		73.9%	23	30	2.5%
	Queens Park Rangers		59.1%	22	37	-2.7%
	Coventry City		72.7%	22	25	-2.9%
	Harrogate Town		69.6%	23	30	1.4%
	Everton		63.2%	19	32	-16.5%
	Southampton		73.9%	23	41	0.7%
	Wigan Athletic		63.6%	22	30	-3.7%
	Gillingham		60.9%	23	35	0.7%
	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic		50.0%	18	30	-21.4%
	Wycombe Wanderers		59.1%	22	29	-4.3%
	Derby County		73.9%	23	44	-0.6%
	Mansfield Town		72.7%	22	38	-5.3%
	Elgin City		47.1%	17	30	-26.8%
	Blackburn Rovers		59.1%	22	27	-5.3%
	Plymouth Argyle		54.5%	22	38	-6.1%
	Crawley Town		66.7%	21	30	-10.4%
	Lincoln City		69.6%	23	32	-2.3%
	Cambridge United		63.6%	22	33	-6.6%
	Bradford City		61.9%	21	30	-11.4%
	Watford		65.2%	23	31	-3.3%
	Leyton Orient		56.5%	23	33	-3.5%
	Crewe Alexandra		63.6%	22	38	-8.4%
	Stoke City		63.6%	22	31	-10.6%
	Hull City		65.2%	23	27	-6.9%
	Rotherham		54.5%	22	47	-11.5%
	Barnsley		59.1%	22	36	-12.1%
	Tranmere Rovers		54.5%	22	35	-12.1%
	Doncaster Rovers		63.6%	22	30	-13.0%
	Cheltenham		60.9%	23	38	-9.6%
	Birmingham City		56.5%	23	36	-11.2%
	Stranraer		55.6%	18	25	-32.5%
	Newport		65.2%	23	20	-14.4%
	Morecambe		45.5%	22	33	-18.7%
	Millwall		56.5%	23	29	-15.2%
	Exeter City		56.5%	23	32	-16.0%
	Salford City		56.5%	23	31	-16.4%
	AFC Wimbledon		69.6%	23	19	-16.8%
	Chelsea		52.6%	19	29	-31.8%
	Grimsby Town		50.0%	22	33	-24.6%
	Walsall		60.9%	23	24	-21.2%
	Cardiff City		65.2%	23	22	-21.5%
	Preston NE		56.5%	23	32	-24.6%
	Bristol City		59.1%	22	27	-27.9%
	Sunderland		54.5%	22	29	-30.3%
	Stevenage		52.2%	23	34	-31.7%
	Middlesbrough		45.5%	22	32	-35.9%

 

Measure of a team's predictability when playing home games.

Predictability is defined as winning games a team is expected to win and correspondingly losing games when the odds suggests the team is expected to lose. A team with high predictability is more likely to return a profit on investment than a team with low predictability whilst playing home games on the assumption that the outcome selected follows the odds.

Magnitude emphasises the degree of predictability in the outcome of the game. The higher, the more assured the punter can be in selecting that team

CI Yield calculates the return where the investor follows the odds for every team game