conservative investor

	Team		Predictability	Matches Played	Magnitude	CI Yield
	Burnley		100.0%	5	13	76.8%
	Fulham		100.0%	5	6	45.3%
	Ross County		100.0%	5	8	32.0%
	Manchester City		100.0%	5	11	21.3%
	Luton Town		80.0%	5	10	20.6%
	Ayr		66.7%	6	12	36.7%
	Arbroath		83.3%	6	8	32.6%
	Sheffield Wed.		87.5%	8	14	72.7%
	Aberdeen		50.0%	4	6	-14.4%
	Queens Park Rangers		85.7%	7	14	48.8%
	Peterhead		83.3%	6	11	26.2%
	Morton		83.3%	6	7	26.2%
	Sheffield Utd		83.3%	6	13	24.6%
	Clyde		85.7%	7	11	44.5%
	Liverpool		100.0%	6	15	22.5%
	St Mirren		83.3%	6	10	22.3%
	Dunfermline		83.3%	6	10	20.7%
	Annan Athletic		83.3%	6	6	15.9%
	Aston Villa		83.3%	6	10	15.6%
	Rangers		83.3%	6	13	15.3%
	Stenhousemuir		83.3%	6	8	14.8%
	Crystal Palace		83.3%	6	8	14.5%
	Hamilton		83.3%	6	15	11.5%
	Nottingham Forest		60.0%	5	7	-7.3%
	Newcastle United		83.3%	6	7	10.4%
	Forfar		66.7%	6	11	10.1%
	Norwich City		100.0%	8	12	46.3%
	St Johnstone		85.7%	7	10	25.9%
	Spartans		85.7%	7	8	25.4%
	Falkirk		100.0%	7	16	23.8%
	Huddersfield Town		87.5%	8	14	41.1%
	Brentford		66.7%	6	6	3.9%
	Ipswich Town		100.0%	8	15	37.5%
	Motherwell		100.0%	7	5	18.5%
	Queen's Park		33.3%	6	14	1.2%
	Hearts		66.7%	6	8	0.3%
	Partick Thistle		71.4%	7	10	16.1%
	West Ham United		66.7%	6	13	-0.6%
	Celtic		83.3%	6	16	-2.1%
	East Fife		66.7%	6	8	-2.5%
	Cove Rangers		85.7%	7	9	13.4%
	Coventry City		87.5%	8	7	29.3%
	Peterborough United		87.5%	8	12	29.2%
	Inverness CT		50.0%	6	12	-3.3%
	Swindon Town		87.5%	8	13	28.3%
	Bournemouth		71.4%	7	14	11.5%
	Manchester United		85.7%	7	14	11.3%
	Raith Rovers		66.7%	6	10	-5.0%
	Bristol Rovers		71.4%	7	6	9.9%
	Dundee Utd		50.0%	6	16	-9.5%
	Mansfield Town		100.0%	8	9	20.5%
	Leyton Orient		57.1%	7	9	5.4%
	Edinburgh City		62.5%	8	19	20.3%
	Arsenal		85.7%	7	14	4.1%
	Millwall		75.0%	8	10	18.3%
	Oxford United		87.5%	8	11	17.9%
	Reading		50.0%	8	16	16.2%
	West Bromwich Albion		75.0%	8	13	15.0%
	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic		66.7%	6	10	-14.0%
	Swansea City		87.5%	8	9	12.5%
	Montrose		71.4%	7	10	-1.7%
	Wycombe Wanderers		62.5%	8	10	10.0%
	Harrogate Town		77.8%	9	14	23.7%
	Kelty Hearts		71.4%	7	8	-5.1%
	Dumbarton		71.4%	7	12	-5.2%
	Hull City		75.0%	8	7	6.4%
	Notts County		88.9%	9	15	18.7%
	AFC Wimbledon		87.5%	8	6	3.5%
	Cheltenham		62.5%	8	17	2.8%
	Northampton Town		62.5%	8	11	0.9%
	Gillingham		77.8%	9	16	13.2%
	Shrewsbury		88.9%	9	9	13.2%
	Forest Green Rovers		90.0%	10	9	25.7%
	Preston NE		75.0%	8	9	0.5%
	Portsmouth		77.8%	9	15	12.0%
	Leeds United		75.0%	8	18	-1.2%
	Leicester City		75.0%	8	18	-2.6%
	Dundee		57.1%	7	11	-14.8%
	Bradford City		62.5%	8	14	-4.4%
	Port Vale		57.1%	7	13	-16.5%
	Stoke City		62.5%	8	14	-4.9%
	Bolton Wanderers		77.8%	9	18	7.0%
	Wrexham		66.7%	9	17	7.0%
	Carlisle United		55.6%	9	18	5.0%
	Tottenham Hotspur		40.0%	5	11	-41.8%
	Fleetwood Town		50.0%	8	13	-7.7%
	Barrow		62.5%	8	9	-7.9%
	Derby County		62.5%	8	15	-8.1%
	Stirling Albion		50.0%	6	9	-31.2%
	Accrington Stanley		80.0%	10	14	14.6%
	Livingston		50.0%	6	12	-31.5%
	Barnsley		62.5%	8	13	-8.9%
	Sutton Utd		60.0%	10	20	13.3%
	Southampton		75.0%	8	10	-9.6%
	Newport		77.8%	9	6	1.6%
	Blackpool		80.0%	10	14	12.4%
	Bristol City		75.0%	8	7	-10.4%
	Tranmere Rovers		66.7%	9	12	0.5%
	Watford		77.8%	9	14	0.1%
	Brighton and HA		57.1%	7	14	-23.3%
	Stockport County		80.0%	10	22	8.8%
	Stranraer		57.1%	7	9	-24.1%
	Sunderland		62.5%	8	12	-13.9%
	Wigan Athletic		62.5%	8	10	-14.2%
	Plymouth Argyle		50.0%	8	13	-15.3%
	Colchester United		55.6%	9	16	-4.9%
	Doncaster Rovers		66.7%	9	12	-7.1%
	Lincoln City		62.5%	8	11	-17.9%
	Charlton Athletic		66.7%	9	10	-8.1%
	Blackburn Rovers		50.0%	8	9	-18.6%
	Chelsea		42.9%	7	13	-30.7%
	Burton Albion		50.0%	8	13	-21.0%
	Alloa		33.3%	6	10	-40.8%
	MK Dons		62.5%	8	7	-21.6%
	Everton		50.0%	6	8	-41.7%
	Crawley Town		55.6%	9	17	-12.9%
	Salford City		50.0%	8	11	-23.6%
	Kilmarnock		42.9%	7	8	-34.1%
	Walsall		62.5%	8	7	-25.1%
	Birmingham City		62.5%	8	10	-25.1%
	Queen of South		50.0%	8	11	-30.6%
	Crewe Alexandra		55.6%	9	14	-22.5%
	Stevenage		55.6%	9	9	-23.0%
	Exeter City		37.5%	8	12	-31.7%
	Morecambe		37.5%	8	15	-32.8%
	Cambridge United		55.6%	9	14	-25.9%
	Airdrie		42.9%	7	12	-43.6%
	Wolverhampton W		33.3%	6	17	-52.1%
	Rotherham		37.5%	8	18	-37.8%
	Hibernian		28.6%	7	10	-47.9%
	Elgin City		20.0%	5	13	-66.8%
	Cardiff City		50.0%	8	6	-47.0%
	Grimsby Town		33.3%	9	12	-48.9%
	Middlesbrough		25.0%	8	15	-75.0%

 

Measure of a team's predictability when playing home games.

Predictability is defined as winning games a team is expected to win and correspondingly losing games when the odds suggests the team is expected to lose. A team with high predictability is more likely to return a profit on investment than a team with low predictability whilst playing home games on the assumption that the outcome selected follows the odds.

Magnitude emphasises the degree of predictability in the outcome of the game. The higher, the more assured the punter can be in selecting that team

CI Yield calculates the return where the investor follows the odds for every team game